Quad

New featurePull request #80

National trends: how college is changing across the country

A new Trends page with six studies of how four-year colleges changed, top-10 lists of the colleges that changed most, and a page for every athletic conference and every state.

What's new

Every page on the site so far answers a question about one college. The new Trends page answers questions about all of them, using twenty years of federal data for about 1,900 four-year colleges.

Six studies, each with the national picture and the same picture split by region, public or private, size, and selectivity, so you can see where a change happened:

  • Men and women in admissions: fewer colleges admit men at a notably higher rate than 20 years ago, and the Northeast drives the change.
  • Test-optional went mainstream: two thirds of colleges required the SAT or ACT in fall 2019; one in twenty does now, and the score ranges colleges publish rose where tests became optional.
  • Shrinking colleges: half of four-year colleges have at least a tenth fewer undergraduates than ten years ago, while large research universities grew.
  • The price gap: what students actually pay fell after inflation at most colleges, but not at the most selective.
  • Students from other states: public colleges, especially research universities, enroll more first-years from out of state.
  • The Pell graduation gap: students with Pell Grants graduate less often than classmates with neither a Pell Grant nor a subsidized loan, and the gap widened.

Biggest movers: ten lists of the colleges that changed most over ten or five years, from applications to what students pay. Each list says which colleges it leaves out and why (mostly-online programs, campuses that closed or merged, reporting errors), so the lists show real change.

By athletic conference and by state: a page for every conference (the Power 4 side by side, members compared, who joined and left) and every state (a map colored by the measure you pick, how the state's colleges changed, where their students come from).

Each study says which colleges it compares and whether a figure counts colleges or students, and every number cites its source and years. You'll find Trends in the footer, in the phone's More menu, and under "What's changed" on Home.

Behind the scenes

npm run build-trends computes every study, list, and group page from the history already committed, and runs at the end of each history update, so the pages stay current with each federal release. Tests recompute each study from the raw college histories and check that the Home facts and the matching studies agree to the number.